Forget Wall Street and the City of London – the next global financial services centre will be in Shanghai and, whilst we can argue about how long it will take for the Chinese to get there (3 years, 10 years, 20 years?) progressive, entrepreneurial and leading financial services and other organisations will be working hard now to position themselves for this major shift in the flow and movement of global capital, investment, foreign exchange, technology and professionals.
China has the money, the motivation and the opportunity to rapidly accelerate the plans they already had in place to play a leading role in global finance and we should expect to see more news confirming China’s serious intentions to dominate the global financial scene, for example:
1. Shanghai’s State Council has been urged by the Central Government to develop a multi-functional financial centre by 2020 and, in order to attract financial professionals worldwide, Shanghai is loosening its residence policy with a view to simplifying the immigrant procedure for financial professionals to work in Shanghai. For the full statement, go to http://eng.wcetv.com/1/2009/03/27/43s12053.htm
2. China is in the process of signing “landmark agreements” with other financial services centres to (a) accelerate the flow of investments between China and other leading financial services centres (b) establish new regulatory frameworks to allow easier access for financial services firms and individuals wishing to conduct business in China, and (c) gradually set up a clearing system for business to be transacted in local currencies. The latest example is the agreement announced this weekend with Taiwan. Go to: http://www.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUSTRE53P0DF20090426?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews for more details
3. China has made no secret of its desire to reduce the world’s dependence on the US dollar as the global reserve currency and replace it with a new currency which is not dependant on any one country, and there is no doubt that they would like to see the Chinese Yuan playing a greater role in global investment and trade. However, whilst the expansion of the yuan's international role is constrained by its limited convertibility, China can promote wider use of its currency by increasing bilateral currency swaps (ie yuan-denominated orders for Chinese imports, thereby avoid using the U.S. dollar in bilateral trade agreements). China's central bank has signed six swap deals since mid December, totalling 650 billion yuan (US$95 billion), with countries from Argentina to Indonesia and South Korea (Go to: http://www.forbes.com/2009/03/31/china-argentina-yuan-markets-currency-dollar.html for more details). China now promises not just more of the same, but bigger swaps with more countries which will not only thaw the current freeze on trade financing, but also reinforce the status of the yuan as an international trade currency.
4. As the largest foreign owner of US Treasury Bonds, and now the strongest economy in the world, China is leading a push by the BRIC countries to have the International Monetary Fund issue its first bonds as part of a strategy by developing nations to gain a bigger say at the IMF. Go to http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/business/story/0,28124,25391494-643,00.html for more details
Any financial services player, in any country, offering almost any financial services product or service, should now have China at the top of their priority list for global business expansion because, quite apart from some of the global policy and strategic initiatives outlined above, Chinese officials, organisations and individuals are now scouring the world for examples of global best practice in financial services, particularly in the following areas:
* Wealth Management – investment, tax-planning and holistic financial planning advice
* Enabling Technology – reporting, transaction, compliance and back office
administration systems and software
* Research – securities, managed funds, products
* Marketing Communications – branding, design, content and delivery
* Professional Development Training – design, content, delivery
Think Global Consulting specialises in the financial services sector – please contact us now for more information and support at www.thinkglobal.com.au
Best wishes
David Thomas